Extra Materials (Full List)

717PN6JWRuL.jpeg

An Inconvenient Truth

Movies

Filmmaker Davis Guggenheim follows Al Gore on the lecture circuit, as the former presidential candidate campaigns to raise public awareness of the dangers of global warming and calls for immediate action to curb its destructive effects on the environment.

717PN6JWRuL.jpeg

Climate of Hope: How Cities, Businesses, and Citizens Can Save the Planet

Books

Bloomberg, an entrepreneur and former mayor of New York City, and Pope, a lifelong environmental leader, approach climate change from different perspectives, yet they arrive at similar conclusions. Without agreeing on every point, they share a belief that cities, businesses, and citizens can lead – and win – the battle against climate change, no matter which way the political winds in Washington may shift.

717PN6JWRuL.jpeg

Comets, Popular Culture, and the Birth of Modern Cosmology

Books

In a lively investigation into the boundaries between popular culture and early-modern science, Sara Schechner presents a case study that challenges the view that rationalism was at odds with popular belief in the development of scientific theories. Schechner delineates the evolution of people's understanding of comets, showing that until the seventeenth century, all members of society dreaded comets as heaven-sent portents of plague, flood, civil disorder, and other calamities. Although these beliefs became spurned as vulgar superstitions by the elite before the end of the century, she shows that they were nonetheless absorbed into the science of Newton and Halley, contributing to their theories in subtle yet profound ways.

717PN6JWRuL.jpeg

Cosmos: A Spacetime Odyssey: When Knowledge Conquered Fear

Movies

Neil deGrasse Tyson sets off on the Ship of the Imagination to chase a single comet through its million-year plunge toward Sol. Later, Tyson visits the birth-place of Sir Isaac Newton and retraces the unlikely friendship between Newton and brilliant polymath Edmond Halley. It was Halley's patience and generosity which allowed Newton to conquer his fear of isolation and find the courage to publish his masterwork, "Principia Mathematica" which launched a scientific revolution.

717PN6JWRuL.jpeg

Evolution and Charles Darwin

Movies

A look at Charles Darwin, his book On The Origin of Species, and how his theory of evolution is explained. It includes Darwin's observations through work on the Human Genome Project.

717PN6JWRuL.jpeg

Five Thirty Eight

Websites

FiveThirtyEight, sometimes rendered as 538, is an American website that focuses on opinion poll analysis, politics, economics, and sports blogging.

717PN6JWRuL.jpeg

How The Spotify Algorithm Works

Student Videos

Subscribe to the Prediction Project YouTube channel for more interesting videos.

717PN6JWRuL.jpeg

Language Modeling

Student Videos

Subscribe to the Prediction Project YouTube channel for more interesting videos.

717PN6JWRuL.jpeg

Living in the Future’s Past

Movies

What kind of future do we want to live in? Jeff Bridges presents this beautifully photographed 4K tour de force of original thinking on who we are and the life challenges we face. This film upends our way of thinking and provides original insights into our subconscious motivations, the unintended consequences, and how our fundamental nature influences our future as mankind.

717PN6JWRuL.jpeg

Metaculus

Websites

Metaculus is a community dedicated to generating accurate predictions about future real-world events by aggregating the collective wisdom, insight, and intelligence of its participants.

Users can track their predictions, earn points and powers, and hone their forecasting skills.

717PN6JWRuL.jpeg

Mucho Mucho Amor

Movies

Dazzling and tender-hearted, legendary astrologer Walter Mercado vanished at the peak of his fame. This documentary poignantly explains what happened.

717PN6JWRuL.jpeg

On The Future

Books

A provocative and inspiring look at the future of humanity and science from world-renowned scientist and bestselling author Martin Rees. Rich with fascinating insights into cutting-edge science and technology, this accessible book will captivate anyone who wants to understand the critical issues that will define the future of humanity on Earth and beyond.

717PN6JWRuL.jpeg

Predicting Elections

Student Videos

Subscribe to the Prediction Project YouTube channel for more interesting videos.

717PN6JWRuL.jpeg

Prediction Machines

Books

In Prediction Machines, three eminent economists recast the rise of AI as a drop in the cost of prediction. With this single, masterful stroke, they lift the curtain on the AI-is-magic hype and show how basic tools from economics provide clarity about the AI revolution and a basis for action by CEOs, managers, policy makers, investors, and entrepreneurs.

717PN6JWRuL.jpeg

Prediction in Mental Health

Student Videos

Subscribe to the Prediction Project YouTube channel for more interesting videos.

717PN6JWRuL.jpeg

Predictive Models of Jury Outcomes

Student Videos

Subscribe to the Prediction Project YouTube channel for more interesting videos.

717PN6JWRuL.jpeg

Science and Islam

Movies

Jim Al-Khalili travels through Syria, Iran, Tunisia and Spain to tell the story of the great leap in scientific knowledge that took place in the Islamic world between the 8th and 14th centuries

717PN6JWRuL.jpeg

Take-a-Sweater

Websites

Take-A-Sweater? uses historical weather records to compare currently predicted temperatures with what actually happened under similar conditions in the past.

717PN6JWRuL.jpeg

The House of Wisdom: How Arabic Science Saved Ancient Knowledge and Gave Us the Renaissance

Books

A myth-shattering view of the Islamic world's myriad scientific innovations and the role they played in sparking the European Renaissance. Jim al- Khalili, a leading British-Iraqi physicist, resurrects this lost chapter of history.

717PN6JWRuL.jpeg

The Knowledge Machine

Books

Why is science so powerful? Why did it take so long—two thousand years after the invention of philosophy and mathematics—for the human race to start using science to learn the secrets of the universe?

In a groundbreaking work that blends science, philosophy, and history, leading philosopher of science Michael Strevens answers these challenging questions, showing how science came about only once thinkers stumbled upon the astonishing idea that scientific breakthroughs could be accomplished by breaking the rules of logical argument.

717PN6JWRuL.jpeg

The Prediction of War Outcomes

Student Videos

Subscribe to the Prediction Project YouTube channel for more interesting videos.

717PN6JWRuL.jpeg

The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't

Books

Nate Silver built an innovative system for predicting baseball performance, predicted the 2008 election within a hair's breadth. He solidified his standing as the nation's foremost political forecaster with his near perfect prediction of the 2012 election. Silver is the founder and editor in chief of FiveThirtyEight.com.

717PN6JWRuL.jpeg

Thinking Fast, and Slow

Books

Nobel Prize Winner in Economics, Daniel Kahneman, takes us on a groundbreaking tour of the mind and explains the two systems that drive the way we think.

717PN6JWRuL.jpeg

To Explain the World, the Discovery of Modern Science

Books

In this rich, irreverent, and compelling history, Nobel Prize-winning physicist Steven Weinberg takes us across centuries from ancient Miletus to medieval Baghdad and Oxford, from Plato’s Academy and the Museum of Alexandria to the cathedral school of Chartres and the Royal Society of London. He shows that the scientists of ancient and medieval times not only did not understand what we understand about the world—they did not understand what there is to understand, or how to understand it.

717PN6JWRuL.jpeg

Traffic Forecasting

Student Videos

Subscribe to the Prediction Project YouTube channel for more interesting videos.