Earth

This is my question based on the Susan Murphy and Brendan Meade interview. I would like to dig deeper into the modeling work that Brendan Meade was discussing during the section from 2:47-7:33. This modeling is obviously being done with the end goal of reliable earthquake prediction in mind. But, he

https://www.labxchange.org/library/pathway/lx-pathway:825945a0-367c-45dc-82b7-3d160c6e6f7a/items/lb:HarvardX:b0b1d3dd:lx_simulation:1/54682?source=%2Flibrary%2Fclusters%2Flx-cluster%3AModernPrediction I watched the interview with Gina McCarthy on Climate Change. My final project is on the U.S. Natio

Video: https://www.labxchange.org/library/pathway/lx-pathway:825945a0-367c-45dc-82b7-3d160c6e6f7a/items/lb:HarvardX:fe7fbba2:lx_simulation:1/54683?source=%2Flibrary%2Fclusters%2Flx-cluster%3AModernPrediction&fullscreen=true Reflection: While none of the interviews seemed to relate to my project to

Identify and explain (in a paragraph) the most surprising bit of information you learned: The overconfidence in predictions across many fields of study, including climate science, was very interesting. The idea that experts tend to be 50% more confident in their predictions than they should be unde

Identify and explain (in a paragraph) the most surprising bit of information you learned.   (20 points) The most surprising bit of information I learned from this interview was that behavioral economics actually closely relates to climate change. I learned about how people can't actually grasp the

My comment on the prediction X forum for week 12 and the group slide #11 focus on different aspects of energy and environmental policy, converge on the theme of tackling climate change through innovative and sometimes controversial solutions. In my discussion post, the discussion revolves around nuc

Personal takeaway(s): While there were a number of intriguing topics discussed in the interview with David Wallom, I think that I will most likely remember the detailed discussion about the challenges and potential solutions related to the power grid's response to high ambient temperatures. For exam

https://drive.google.com/file/d/10LEZUvf4niowYAvtmAwoiz1pK-MEJwFQ/view?usp=sharing What I will remember most about this interview is the discussion of philosophy in the context of science and prediction and how these fields are interwoven and inherently interconnected. There are many ethical consi

The moment from Rebecca Henderson’s interview that will stick with me a year from now is when she shared the anecdote about the corporations she spoke to about their own projections around the future, specifically in regard to carbon regulation. It’s legitimately frightening to me that just six year

https://www.labxchange.org/library/pathway/lx-pathway:53ffe9d1-bc3b-4730-abb3-d95f5ab5f954/items/lx-pb:53ffe9d1-bc3b-4730-abb3-d95f5ab5f954:lx_simulation:997b23d6?source=%2Flibrary%2Fclusters%2Flx-cluster%3AModernPrediction&fullscreen=true This video had two important parts that related to my proj

Like climate modeling, flood prediction also involves complex systems that are not linear and can behave in unexpected ways. Just as the video discusses the challenges of predicting exactly when major climate tipping points might occur, flooding prediction also has to grapple with the potential for

One thing Brendan mentioned at the beginning which really stuck out to me was this: "Earthquake prediction has long been considered one of the hardest problems in all of science. It's a story that's extremely sad and almost entirely covered in failure." - (2:53) Much of what we are presenting about

This video was very interesting and explained the different parameters to keep in mind when evaluating the weather and which are important when trying to forecast it. They are pressure, temperature and humidity, and they heavily influence how we perceive temperature. Here is an additional resource

This interview relates to my project because my project is about flight delay prediction, and improving predictions of flight delays can massively impact how we use resources. For example, keeping airplanes taxiing on runways means more fuel burned, so an ideal system would not have any of these del

This video relates to my final project topic of climate change because Harvard University Professor Rebecca Henderson discusses the intersection between corporate and government action towards climate change as a result of societal or employee pressure. For example, it wasn't until parents spoke out

Tackling climate change is like solving a big puzzle – you gotta try lots of different pieces to make it work. Daniel Kammen's "Silver Buckshot" idea gets it right; there's no one magic solution, just a bunch of different things we got to try. Changing up our habits is a big part of it. Whether it's

I think personally, one key thing that will stick with me from this interview is the tradeoffs between different domains like energy, transportation, economics, policy, and the environment when trying to address climate change. Some of the examples given, like how driving electric vehicles or cyclin

I am much better at recalling examples than abstract concepts. And so, a year from now, I expect to remember Wallom's discussion relating to the Oregon forest risk project. The study examined the impact of climate change on bark beetle infestations in Northwestern U.S. forests – a region important

The one thing I will probably remember years down the line is the really sad notion that most people ignore climate change because it's such an incremental problem without a solution. I hope in 10 years we will have found a more proactive way as a society to deal with it. How this interview will af

One aspect of this interview that I may remember a year from now is the discussion on the importance of energy efficiency. The emphasis on reducing demand rather than just focusing on increasing supply struck a chord with me. It's a reminder that often the most impactful solutions lie in optimizing

https://www.labxchange.org/library/pathway/lx-pathway:0b417a9e-6227-44a8-a887-dbfdf44e37e3/items/lb:HarvardX:fe7fbba2:lx_simulation:1/62346?source=%2Flibrary%2Fclusters%2Flx-cluster%3AModernPrediction&fullscreen=true I watched Brendan Meade's interview. Earthquake prediction has always been fascinat

The most surprising bit of information to me in this interview was the discussion about “Techno fanaticism”. This is about the idea of beating climate change through some big technological breakthrough, avoiding having to take any other steps to address it. They compare this to the invention of nitr

I really enjoyed the part on the Sure-thing principle. I had never heard it described this way before -- I believe this is referred to as prospect theory whenever I have heard it. Essentially, this term means that humans are not rational thinkers. Thus, they weight losses more heavily than gains. So

https://www.labxchange.org/library/pathway/lx-pathway:825945a0-367c-45dc-82b7-3d160c6e6f7a/items/lb:HarvardX:fe7fbba2:lx_simulation:1/54683?source=%2Flibrary%2Fclusters%2Flx-cluster%3AModernPrediction The most interesting part of the interview with Brendan Meade about earthquake prediction was his

https://www.labxchange.org/library/items/lb:HarvardX:fe7fbba2:lx_simulation:1?fullscreen=true  Explain (In a paragraph) how the interview relates to your chosen final project topic. Professor Brendan Meade’s area of expertise surrounds earthquake prediction, which is my topic for the final projec

• What do you, personally, think you will remember most about this interview a year from now? Personally, I think that I will remember how Professor Kammen describes the necessary processes that go into slowing the damage of climate change. From the idea of the 'performance contractor' to his inte

• What do you, personally, think you will remember most about this interview a year from now?   The thing that I will remember most from this interview a year from now is the advocacy Gina McCarthy has for us as the younger generation. The urgency to address climate change is increasingly pressing,

1. I found it very interesting that a lot of the discussion focused on the challenges and methodologies of predicting climate changes, such as the atmospheric conditions, ocean temperatures, and their broader impacts on global climate. This discussion in the interview resonated with me as a reminder

Reflecting on this interview, I think what I will remember most a year from now is the insightful discussion about the challenges and opportunities in prediction science, particularly in the fields of earthquake prediction and mobile health. The conversation shed light on the complexities involved i

A year from now, I think that I am most likely to remember the philosophical commentary that people don't like to acknowledge problems unless then have a solution. I think that understanding this behavior in humans would help a lot to get public support to mitigate climate change by informing the wa