I was shocked by the idea that memories and predictions for the future are pyscologically the same: given what you know already, imagine an event. In the case of prediction, you know much less, and therefore the word "imagine" seems a lot more fitting, but memory working as imagination is a newer interpretation for me. However, besides the fact that you have more data to go off of (all of the things that happened and that your mind recorded), it is the same concept of taking a set of facts and using your imagination to fill in the gaps. I am doing my final project on movie popularity predictions, and I think this concept of imagination, both in memory and prediction, is an important one to understand when making movie popularity predictions. This effect of filling in gaps in memory with imagination could lead a good film to become very popular and a bad film to become very unpopular; in other words, this phenomenon could increase uncertainty in movie prediction models because it causes audiences' memories of and opinions on movies to be more extreme.
top of page
bottom of page