I was very fascinated by the research findings about corvids and how they could base their behavior on past trends in where their food has been placed and whether it has been moved, which may be similar to predictions, although humans are very distinct in the way they thinking. These research studies involved studying how corvids retrieve food that they have hidden. The researchers changed various parameters within the experiment. I was very surprised by how these findings were made with corvids, but not in primates, since I would have thought that primates would be more similar to humans in this way.
I would have asked “How does the way that people view predictions change as the stakes differ? For example, there was discussion of how a 2 and 22% likelihood is viewed more similarly by many people than a 0 and 2% likelihood. When someone is making a prediction about the weather vs a life-threatening disease, how does the way that people view these likelihood shift?” I am curious about this question since I believe that when steaks are higher for a prediction, it might shift the way that individuals interpret a probability. For example, I think that an individual would view a likelihood of rain from 0-10% very similarly perhaps, but that they’d view a probability of dying in a car accident on a dangerous road of 0% and of 10% or of 2% and of 10% very differently, so I would love to hear more input about how stakes alter the way that individuals view, interpret, and make predictions.