The most surprising bit of information that I learned was how complex some models of prediction are, such as the climate change one, where there is, as Professor Laibson said, "a vast uncertainty" related with all these models and how important it is to take into account through this uncertainty the "tail end" where we assume the worst that could happen. Also, Professor Laibson mentions that in cases like these, for the scientific community, the extreme events that one wouldn't want to think about are more likely than the general public would think for them to be.
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