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    Luke Jordan
    Dash  ·  
    Apr 25, 2021

    Agustin Rayo (4/27)

    in Thoughts from Learners

    In the Prediction and Philosophy video, a few immediate questions came to mind from the discussion between Agustin Rayo and Professor Goodman. After Rayo mentioned how he believed that humans were very predictable, Professor Goodman responded by asking if that means humans are well-behaved. Hearing that humans are very predictable was indeed intriguing, but I was more fascinated by the relationship between being predictable and being well-behaved. Even if humans are very predictable, does that mean they are well-behaved? If someone is unpredictable, does that necessarily mean that they are not well-behaved? How does one concretely define well-behaved in the context of predictions?

    https://www.labxchange.org/library/pathway/lx-pathway:53ffe9d1-bc3b-4730-abb3-d95f5ab5f954/items/lx-pb:53ffe9d1-bc3b-4730-abb3-d95f5ab5f954:lx_simulation:d0403012?source=%2Flibrary%2Fclusters%2Flx-cluster%3AModernPrediction

    1 comment
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    Sravya Kuchibhotla
    Dash  ·  
    Apr 26, 2021

    Hi Luke, interesting point! When I first watched this video, I perceived the assertion that predicability is equal to "well-behaved" from the point of view of statistics, wherein a model is "well-behaved" if it is able to accurately predict a certain outcome. I don't think the social norm of being "well-behaved" is what is being equated to "predictability," but I am happy to hear your thoughts.

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