Is the distant future clearer than tomorrow?

I chose this video because it offers a rare and nuanced conversation between scientists deeply engaged in the challenge of climate prediction, something that is both scientifically fascinating and socially urgent. What surprised me most—and what I think will surprise other forum readers—is the idea that long-term climate forecasts can actually be more reliable than short-term ones. Intuitively, we expect that the further out we try to predict, the more uncertain things become. But as the scientists explain, on longer timescales, human-driven factors like CO₂ emissions become the dominant force, making the trends more predictable than short-term fluctuations caused by natural variability. That reversal of expectation really stuck with me. It underscores how vital it is to understand the different types of uncertainty we face—and why action on climate can’t wait for “perfect” predictions.