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matthewthompson
GenEd 1112-24
Apr 23, 2024
In Earth
Video: https://www.labxchange.org/library/pathway/lx-pathway:825945a0-367c-45dc-82b7-3d160c6e6f7a/items/lb:HarvardX:fe7fbba2:lx_simulation:1/54683?source=%2Flibrary%2Fclusters%2Flx-cluster%3AModernPrediction&fullscreen=true Reflection: While none of the interviews seemed to relate to my project topic of March Madness, the “Predicting Health, and Earthquakes” interview with Brendan Meade and Susan Murphy had several interesting topics. The portion that addressed predicting earthquakes was especially surprising to me. Brendan Meade explained that scientists now use GPS to predict earthquakes before they happen. But how could GPS—which uses satellites above the Earth—be used to predict Earth activity below the surface? GPS actually can accurately measure the Earth's surface's movements so that we can see where tectonic plates collide and grind. This helps scientists to model where and how severe future earthquakes might be. I figured that scientists had methods for predicting earthquakes, but I would not have guessed GPS to be the primary tool to do so. Resource: “NASA Tests GPS Monitoring System for Big U.S. Quakes.” NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory (JPL), April 24, 2012. https://www.jpl.nasa.gov/news/nasa-tests-gps-monitoring-system-for-big-us-quakes.
Reflection on Predicting Health, and Earthquakes content media
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matthewthompson
GenEd 1112-24
Apr 16, 2024
In Earth
Personal takeaway(s): While there were a number of intriguing topics discussed in the interview with David Wallom, I think that I will most likely remember the detailed discussion about the challenges and potential solutions related to the power grid's response to high ambient temperatures. For example, heat waves can cause cables to overheat and sag, which can lead to network faults and large-scale fires. This example made it clear to me just how immediate the impacts of climate change are on critical infrastructure, and it underscores the urgency of integrating climate resilience into energy systems design and management. Effect on the Future: It is pretty clear how the topics discussed in the interview with Professor Wallom might affect the future. On one hand, the interview touches on risks of aging infrastructure of power systems, which are often subjected to stress beyond their original design parameters due to climate change. As climate change worsens, these risks will negatively impact the future if nothing is done to help address the problem. However, the interview also highlights the necessity for ongoing education in policies and practices to mitigate the effects of climate change and enhance sustainability. Addressing these risks involves both updating the power grid to withstand new temperature extremes, and integrating advanced weather prediction systems to manage and mitigate these effects of high temperatures. This upgrade not only protects the infrastructure but also supports the broader integration of renewable energy sources. If we implement changes, we may see a very different future in which resilience to climate change, economic stability, and community well-being are all positively affected.
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matthewthompson
GenEd 1112-24
Apr 09, 2024
In Space
Link: https://www.labxchange.org/library/items/lb:HarvardX:68789c56:lx_simulation:1?fullscreen=true Reflection: The interview with Jill Tarter was interesting to me for a number of reasons. The notion of intelligent extraterrestrial life had always seemed like something that was just in sci-fi movies and books. While in the back of my mind I always felt like there may be intelligent life, I always dismissed the thought. Hearing that there have been many attempts to contact other life forms did not surprise me, but it was interesting learning about the methods we have used to try to reach out to alien life. The interview with Dr. Tarter honestly made me excited about the potential of making contact with extraterrestrial life, and I'm curious how that may look. Question: If I had to ask Dr. Tarter a question, I would ask her how likely she actually thinks it is for us to find intelligent life in space in the near future. I also wonder about the safety behind contacting aliens. What if they are not peaceful? What would contact with them look like after the initial contact, etc.
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matthewthompson
GenEd 1112-24
Apr 03, 2024
In Artificial Intelligence
https://www.labxchange.org/library/pathway/lx-pathway:b5121779-9f49-49db-93d9-80d5d67dadb3/items/lx-pb:b5121779-9f49-49db-93d9-80d5d67dadb3:lx_simulation:f10b9110?source=%2Flibrary%2Fclusters%2Flx-cluster%3AModernPrediction There are a couple questions that I’d be curious to discuss with Professor Laibson. My largest questions are in regards to AI and its effect on economics. How has AI affected behavioral economics, and as machine learning continues to grow and advance, how does Laibson imagine it will affect the field?
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matthewthompson
GenEd 1112-24
Apr 03, 2024
In Wealth
https://www.labxchange.org/library/pathway/lx-pathway:b5121779-9f49-49db-93d9-80d5d67dadb3/items/lx-pb:b5121779-9f49-49db-93d9-80d5d67dadb3:lx_simulation:f10b9110?source=%2Flibrary%2Fclusters%2Flx-cluster%3AModernPrediction I really enjoyed the interview with David Laibson, and there were a number of things that I learned. What surprised me most was Laibson’s absolute confidence that we will not be able to accurately predict long-term economic events at any point in the near future. He claims that despite advances in technology, including machine learning, and a deeper understanding of behavioral economics, accurately predicting economic outcomes 20 years into the future remains a very distant prospect. Considering the progress that has been made, I would have expected more optimism from Laibson.
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matthewthompson
GenEd 1112-24
Mar 21, 2024
In Modern Prediction in the Media
Climate Change Is Speeding Toward Catastrophe. The Next Decade Is Crucial, U.N. Panel Says. (Published 2023),https://www.nytimes.com/2023/03/20/climate/global-warming-ipcc-earth.html Unless global warming is limited to 1.5 degrees Celsius above pre industrial levels, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) predicts that we will face severe climate impacts in the near future. To prevent this, however, we will need to halve greenhouse gas emissions by 2030 and completely stop relying on them by the early 2050s.  The IPCC generates its predictions through climate models and assessments of current scientific research. These models incorporate vast amounts of data on past and present climate conditions, including temperatures, greenhouse gas concentrations, and ice core samples. By analyzing trends and understanding Earth's climate system, the IPCC can project future climate conditions under various scenarios, which involve different levels of greenhouse gas emissions and mitigation efforts.
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matthewthompson

GenEd 1112-24
+4
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