I greatly enjoyed the conversation between Professor Goodman and Professor Gilbert in this episode of Prediction and Psychology. One of the more surprising information I learned in this video was that for the most part, most people care a great deal about accuracy when making predictions about their future. I was particularly interested in this because of how this ties in with when Professor Goodman was approached with the question why she is so adamant over accuracy so it was interesting to hear from a psychologist's POV on how most people actually do care about the accuracy of their so-called predictions. And as a side note, another surprising bit of information I learned in this interview was that there has been extensive research over how different species other than humans might also be capable of predicting their futures and therefore amend actions.
One question I wanted to ask Professor Gilbert is that, if most people indeed obsess and care about the accuracy of their predictions, in other words a lot of people attempt to avoid the bad outcome and get to the good outcome when making predictions about their futures, are there fundamental biases (special selection) on the questions they choose to ask/actions they choose to do in order to maximize their possibility of getting to that better outcome?